Bendigo Bank: RBA Cash Rate to Stay Unchanged All Year

Resolve Finance has announced that the 2024 financial year was a record year for the business, with loan volumes surpassing $1.74 billion. This represents a substantial 11% year-on-year increase for the broker franchise, highlighting its continued growth, and success of the franchise business in the highly competitive mortgage broking industry. It comes after a bumper 2023 for the broker network. A significant portion of this growth can be attributed to strong first-time buyer activity. The number of First Home Buyer schemes and grants Resolve brokers have assisted with has increased by 29% from FY23 to FY24. You may read the whole article here:https://bit.ly/4eT0anx

Population Surge Intensifies Housing Shortages

Australia’s national shortage of dwellings has become more critical due to record population growth, according to Hotspotting. In 2023, the country’s population increased by 651,000, the highest in history, with 84% of that growth attributed to overseas migration. “The record level of population growth last year did not cause the shortage of dwellings, including the under-supply of rental homes,” said Terry Ryder director at Hotspotting. You may read the whole article here:https://bit.ly/4bvSa9f

Australian Household Spending up Slightly

Household spending in Australia rose 0.1% over the past year, according to figures recently released by the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS). Spending on services increased by 2.3%, driven by higher expenditures on health and other services, while spending on goods fell 2.5%, led by declines in clothing, footwear, and goods for recreation and culture. Non-discretionary spending rose 1.8%, with significant contributions from health expenses and vehicle purchase and operation costs. Discretionary spending decreased by 1.9%, primarily due to reduced spending on clothing, footwear, and accommodation services. You may read the whole article here:https://bit.ly/4cxUJJ0

Rent Prices Rise in June Quarter – PropTrack

The median weekly rent for dwellings in Australia’s capital cities rose by 3.2% to $640 in the three months ending June, following a 4.2% increase in the March quarter. Latest market insight from PropTrack showed even stronger rental growth in regional areas, which posted a 3.9% increase in the same period, pushing the median weekly rent to $540. Rents are now 10.3% higher than a year ago in capital cities and 8% higher in regional areas. Units have seen greater rent increases than houses, both quarterly and annually, narrowing the rental price gap between the two. In capital cities, houses now have only a $30 premium over units. You may read the whole article here:https://bit.ly/3Wb4t6v

Home Prices Set to Surge Over Next Five Years

There will be a substantial increase in home prices in Australia by 2029 if current growth rates persist, new analysis of PropTrack data has revealed. If property prices continue their current trajectory, homes in traditionally affordable areas on the outskirts of major cities will likely reach million-dollar valuations, according to the property data insights provider. Paul Ryan, senior economist at PropTrack, clarified that the modelling is not a forecast but illustrates the extraordinary price growth over the past five years and its potential future implications. You may read the whole article here:https://bit.ly/4eQh31Z

Another Rate Rise Impact Housing Market

An increase to the cash rate could slow demand in a housing market that’s already showing signs of cooling. Should all things fall into place to force the Reserve Bank of Australia’s (RBA) hand to increase the official cash rate in August, prospective buyers would see their dreams of home ownership slip further out of reach, CoreLogic’s head of research Eliza Owen has said. A further 25-bp rise in August (taking the cash rate to 4.6 per cent) would take monthly repayments on the current median dwelling value to over $4,000 per month. You may read the whole article here:https://bit.ly/3zpYWjw

RBA Hints At Possible Rate Hikes

Mortgage holders should brace for potential interest rate increases, as minutes from the latest Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) meeting reveal the board’s readiness to act if inflation surges. The June 17-18 meeting highlighted the ongoing challenge of controlling inflation, with RBA governor Michele Bullock and the board acknowledging that if inflation expectations were to rise materially from current levels, it could require significantly higher interest rates to bring inflation back to target. Days after the monetary policy meeting, inflation actually rose, with the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) reporting that the monthly consumer price index rose to 4% in the year to May, up from 3.6% in April. You may read the whole article here:https://bit.ly/45TZxpB

Aussie Homeowners Gain Wealth

Australian homeowners experienced a significant wealth boost in FY2024, with dwelling values increasing by 0.7% in June, culminating in an 8% rise over the fiscal year, according to CoreLogic. The growth equates to a $59,000 increase in the median dwelling value, now standing at $794,000. The annual rise sharply contrasts with FY2022-23, where CoreLogic’s national index dropped by -2%. In that period, values plummeted by -7.5% in the nine months following May 2022, driven by a rising cash rate target. You may read the whole article here:https://bit.ly/3W7a5P9

Investors Return to Market

Eleonor Creagh, senior economist at PropTrack, highlighted the prospect of capital gains as a key factor drawing investors back to the market, supported by strong rental price growth which is maintaining rental yields. The value of new lending, excluding refinancing, increased for the third consecutive month in April, driven by improving housing market conditions since prices began to recover from 2022’s falls. The 4.8% monthly increase in new lending in April was the strongest since January 2022, with an annual rise of 24.6%, the largest since December 2021. You may read the whole article here:https://bit.ly/3L6o8xV

Property Market Shows Resilience Amid Challenges

Rachel Anderson, director at Herron Todd White (HTW), highlighted the enduring strength of Australia’s residential property market in the Month in Review report for June. Despite facing high inflation and economic uncertainties, the property market remains robust, with a consistent pattern of growth. “A lazy $750,000 in the national residential property market has to work hard across the nation as markets remain robust, proving property ownership aspirations to be resilient and rewarding,” Anderson said. You may read the whole article here:https://bit.ly/3xrsOLM